1 Million Strong for . . . . Issue Activism and Youth Identity
One of the things I'd like to talk more about here at Future Majority is issue activism. Even during the long decline in young voter turnout from 1972 through 2000, issue activism remained a vibrant outlet for political action among young people. Whether it was Nader Raiders and corporate responsibility in the 70s, nukes and apartheid in the 80s, or the rise of the student environmental movement in the early 90s, issue activism has always had a place in forging the political identity of young people.
As we've noted incessently on this blog, electoral activism among young people has seen a significant rise in the last 4 years, but has it eclipsed issue activism as a primary form of political engagement among young voters? Here's some anecdotal evidence to suggest that the answer is no, and perhaps spark a conversation on what that means for Democrats, the Democratic Party, and youth organizations looking to speak to young voters.
In the last month, two Facebook groups have swamped anything accomplished by Barack Obama or any of the other presidential candidates on the social network:
Stephen Colbert - 508,978
Support the Monk's Protest in Burma - 430,725
Compare that to the much hyped 1 Million Strong for Barack Obama:
Barack Obama - 382,807
I don't want to make too much of this, because these Facebook groups can be fickle things. Yet it seems significant that a fake politician has accumulated in less than a week more support than Barack Obama, who is supposedly a youth juggernaut, has in half a year, and even more than all the official support of the Democrats and Republican candidates combined. In just over a one month time period, an incredibly dense and information rich Facebook group created in support of the protesting Burmese Monks has done the same. If you look at the numbers in Facebook Cause Applications you'll find a similar pattern. Darfur and Global Warming Causes both net hundreds of thousands of more supporters than do any politician.
Clearly our politicians are not connecting with young people to the degree that it is possible. Not even Obama. When I sat on the Future Technology panel at the Yearly Kos conference, my co-panelist (and sometime Future Majority blogger) Fred Gooltz noted that young people adopt issues like they wear pins on their bags and jackets. He didn't mean this in a bad way and he wasn't describing a shallow, consumerist activism. What he meant was that just as people use buttons or T-shirts or fashion to forge an identity, so too are young people's political identities tied up the issues they choose to support. The membership data for these Facebook groups, as well as the success of of issue-oriented groups like Step it Up seem to support that thesis.
Issue activism is alive and well, and I tend to agree with Fred that if Democrats or the Democratic Party wants to fully tap into the power of the youth vote, they are going to need to speak to those issues and forge a connection between their platform and values with that issue and the identity of those young people. We can continue to build the Democratic brand - and there is still much work to be done in terms of on the ground, peer to peer organizing for elections. But at some point, we're also going to need to reckon with the fact that the Democratic Brand can only go so far. If the youngest generation is forging political identity more through the issues about which they care than through a party allegiance, than the party is going to need to adjust to accommodate that trend if it wants to continue to increase its relevance.
2008 Youth Vote in Context
The following charts and graphs are meant to contextualize the unique role that young voters played in the 2008 election, and their increasingly important role in a winning electoral coalition:
2008 Youth Electoral Map

2004 Youth Electoral Map

Youth Vote Partisan Advantage: 2000 - 2008

Youth Vote Historical Support: 1976 - 2008

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523,523
Mike, not sure when you pulled the 508,978 number, but it looks like Colbert's group pulled another 20,000 in the first half of today alone.
Growing
I pulled and linked the numbers for both groups about 25 minutes before this entry was posted. It is actually growing that fast.
Awesome
I like Colbert and Burma a hell of a lot more than I like Obama. Glad to know I've still got my finger on the pulse.
Seriously though, Mike, what this tells us is that once again there's a potentially vast groundswell out there of energy, and it's just not being tapped, and probably won't be in this election cycle. We all know how the youth vote is going to break, but people want to do more than vote. Your guess is as good as mine as to if/when we'll see this manifest, but it seems clear that the existing political structure is barely scraping the surface here.
A little can seem like a lot
I think you're right. The problem is that even though we're only now scraping the surface, that little bit it so above and beyond what is considered the norm, that it's really easy for folks to say "but look how well we're doing and how much we've improved."
It's a recipe for inaction that I fear the Democrats will all too gladly take up. I'm looking ahead to the next cycle before we really see anything interesting on this front. 2008 will be all about solidifying the value of the youth vote and peer to peer organizing.
Minor correction
Not to take away from your point at all, which still stands, but the Obama group has 383,128 members, not 302,000.
But isn't this kind of like comparing apples and oranges? A group like One Million Strong Against Hillary Clinton, for example, grew so fast because you're drawing not just from people who actually support something --- but from everyone else: disaffected folks, Republicans, other candidates, etc. With issue advocacy groups or Colbert, you're perhaps also drawing from a wider base of support? (I also imagine Colbert mentioned the page on his show, when the Million Strong for Barack group can't even message its membership due to Facebook policy).
Lastly, I think YouTube stats might tell a different, healthier story about political activism altogether. The Politico had a piece up today using results from Compete.com about web traffic over the course of the month of September. Of people who visit candidate websites, only about 1% actually visited the candidate's official Facebook or MySpace page, compared to 15%, for example for Obama, who visited his YouTube page or 14% who read one of the top nine lefty blogs. (His visitors were also twice as likely to use YouTube (60%) as Facebook (30%) in the span of a month.)
I had a piece up on TechPresident about how I think Facebook has squelched the potential of the Million Strong for Barack group and political activism.
Not really a coherent comment, but just a few thoughts...
Apples and Oranges
Thanks for the correction. I was rounding the figure and the missing 8 is a typo.
I don't think it's apples and oranges. It's not the full story either, which is why I caveated it in the post, but I think that in general my point is right. IT's not to say that electoral activism among youth isn't healthy - it's healthier than it has been in a long long time - this is merely to say that issue activism is still more predominant. I think that with the issue groups you are pulling in more broad support, but that's my point. The number of people who are actively FOR preventing climate change or genocide in Darfu far outnumber the amount of people affirmatively FOR Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton. I think there's a more fundamental reason there than the vagueries of Facebook and I'm trying to scratch at it a bit.
The Compete data doesn't break stuff up by age, so is less relevant. Harvard Institute of Politics actualy determined that younger people are more likely to use FaceBook and MySpace to obtain political information than YouTube (from their 2007 surveys).
I agree that Colbert being on TV has its advantages, but Barack and Hillary are on TV every day.
Barack and Hiillary on TV every day
And they could, if they wanted to, push their networking or other Web 2.0 tools on TV if they wanted to... we've seen both Kucinich and Edwards push their text message update service on TV, both in debates and other speeches.
I've seen Colbert push the education donation website, but has he pushed ppl to join the Facebook group? Mostly he seems to just push ColberNation.com.
Fair enough
The Compete data doesn't break things up by gender, but then again, neither does Facebook (which, according to them, is now only "a third to one half" students) --- though this is an interesting dynamic in itself. Hanging around the discussion threads of one of these groups, at One Million Strong for Barack, for example, there are a lot of people posting who are considerably older; even though most of these groups are initiated by young people; in Colbert's case a high school kid.
But anyway, I don't actually mean to dispute your point too much about issue vs. electoral activism. I'm sympathetic to your overall point. I think I'm mostly being sensitive to several stories minimizing One Million Strong for Barack, which I've been involved in. It's a little inaccurate to say that the group has had six months to grow, when most of its growth, as seems to happen with viral campaigns, happens all at once and then levels off. It was, after all, the fastest growing group of its time.
One Million Strong for Stephen Colbert and the anti-Hillary group have most obviously copied and learned from that model --- a lot of my friends who helped grow Barack's group have signed on to both. And second, Facebook is also growing like gangbusters.
So I think there's reason to believe that the waves will get bigger and bigger. (In this way, it's not necessarily a reflection on Obama that Colbert and Burma are meeting with more support, they're partly just more recent.) There will always be another fastest growing Facebook group.
Anyway, on a side note, One Million Strong for Barack is sponsoring a community blog that we're going to be launching today. We'll see how it works out.