Young Voters Swing Away From Allen After "Macaca" Gaffe
As reported by Jonathan Singer on MyDD, George Allen has seen his poll numbers deflate dramatically after deriding a young volunteer for his opponent (who happens to be South Asian) with a racist epithet.
SurveyUSA reports that among young voters, Allen has gone from +23 to -17, a swing of 40 points.
The video of Allen's remarks has racked up more than 200,000 views on YouTube to date, as well as recieving play in the traditional media. The gaffe was also lampooned on The Daily Show (20,000+ YouTube views for the clip).
I think this goes to show two rather obvious points, but repetition is how you get these things across, so:
- The incominig Millennial cohort is the most racially and ethnically tolerant of any in US political history. They are not motivated in significant numbers by racial code or by most culture war issues in general; in fact, they're largely turned off by these sorts of appeals.
- YouTube is an effective means of distributing campaign message, especially to this population. The quasi-reality-tv format can work for candidates who have the skills and staff to tap into it.
2008 Youth Vote in Context
The following charts and graphs are meant to contextualize the unique role that young voters played in the 2008 election, and their increasingly important role in a winning electoral coalition:
2008 Youth Electoral Map

2004 Youth Electoral Map

Youth Vote Partisan Advantage: 2000 - 2008

Youth Vote Historical Support: 1976 - 2008

Breaking News
Political Wire:
Poll Shows Obama Expanding Lead NationallyA new a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/05/16/fox-news-poll-obama-pulls-ahead-romney-as-presidential-race-heats-up/"Fox News poll/a finds Presdent Obama leading Mitt Romney by seven points ...Think Progress:
New York And Los Angeles City Councils Approve Responsible Banking OrdinancesCity councils in the nation’s two largest cities have approved laws aimed at forcing banks to invest more in their local communities. The Los Angeles city council unanimously passed its ...Political Wire:
RNC Will Bypass Nevada GOP"Fed up with an inept and self-destructive GOP apparatus in Nevada, the Republican National Committee and the Mitt Romney campaign have decided to erect a 'shadow state party' in this critical swing ...Think Progress:
CHART: Wages For Young Colleges Graduates Haven’t Grown In A DecadeAccording to data from the Economic Policy Institute, “between 2000 and 2011, the wages of young college graduates [aged 21-24] dropped 5.4 percent (1.6 percent for men and 8.5 percent for ...The Plum Line:
Greg Sargent: Happy Hour Roundup* Dylan Byers can’t get the Sunday shows to explain why they refuse to discuss the too-hot-to-handle Mann/Ornstein thesis that, yes, one side is far more to blame for what’s gone wrong in ...
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