Young Voters See a Generally Positive Campaign Cycle (Updated)
Update: Here's another thought. I wonder if there is any connection between this and declining TV viewership among younger voters? Most attack ads are going to be delivered via TV advertising and repeated on network news coverage. These things also make their way onto YouTube, Blogs, MoveOn emails and more, so maybe there's nothing here, but it's a thought.
----------------------------
Here's a little bit of weird data in a poll taken by Pew. Despite weeks of attacks by McCain - many of which were declared outright lies by the media and even Karl Rove - and another week in which Obama punched back with a lot of negative ads, young voters this cycle are less likely than young voters in 2004 to view this campaign cycle as overly negative.
When the public is asked to characterize the tone of the presidential campaign thus far, fewer now than in 2004 describe the race as too negative. Four years ago, more than six-in-ten (62%) said that the campaign was too negative, while just 32% said it was not. Now, 43% describe the race as too negative and a slight majority (51%) says it is not.
This shift in the balance of opinion is found across gender and party, but nowhere is it stronger than among young people (those under 30). For this group, 58% said that the campaign was too negative in 2004, while just three-in-ten (30%) describe it this way today. That is markedly different than older Americans. Among those 65 and older, a majority (61%) described the presidential race as too negative in 2004 and still half (52%) describe the campaign as too negative this year.
I guess Obama's generally positive campaign rhetoric might account for this? It seems odd that young people aren't responding negatively to so many attacks on their candidate . . .
In general, this is a very good thing. Negative campaigns can sometimes depress turnout - including young voter turnout. If most young voters don't see the campaign as too negative by now, there's not too much of a chance anything we see in the next 6 weeks will change their mind.

2008 Youth Vote in Context
The following charts and graphs are meant to contextualize the unique role that young voters played in the 2008 election, and their increasingly important role in a winning electoral coalition:
2008 Youth Electoral Map

2004 Youth Electoral Map

Youth Vote Partisan Advantage: 2000 - 2008

Youth Vote Historical Support: 1976 - 2008

Breaking News
The Plum Line:
Jan Brewer's terribly awkward debate performanceAdam Serwer of the American Prospect is guest blogging on The Plum Line this week. This video of Arizona GOP Gov. Jan Brewer's debate intro yesterday is making the rounds on the interwebs: This is ...Tech President:
10Questions Update: Changing the Debate via Debates10Questions is an experiment; one with ambitious goals. Namely, we want to prove the efficacy of the internet's crowd sourcing ability, combined with the connective power of online video. Doing so ...Think Progress:
REPORT: Mariner Energy Cited For Two Violations In Past Six Months, Totaling $55,000A mile-long oil sheen is now reportedly visible where an offshore oil and gas platform exploded this morning in the Gulf of Mexico. The Vermilion Oil Rig 360, owned by Mariner Energy — which ...Tech President:
Clearing the Cache: Vote Early! Though I'd Rather You Didn'tFormer Maryland Governor and current Republican gubernatorial candidate Bob Ehrlich takes to YouTube to explain that, hey, he might not like early voting, but them's the rules. "I believe ...Think Progress:
Pawlenty Likens Federal Government To A Drug Dealer, Implies Minnesota Towns, Businesses Are AddictsOutgoing Minnesota governor and potential Republican presidential candidate Tim Pawlenty appeared on Fox News and Fox Business last night to defend his recent executive order prohibiting the state ...
Featured Video
Recent Blog Posts
-
Originally posted on Citizen Orange. The "DREAM Now Series: Letters to Barack Obama" is a social media campaign that launched Monday, July 19, to underscore the urgent need to pass the DREAM Act. ...by: kyledeb | 0 comments
-
Last month Karlo and Colin wrote a post following Netroots Nation that called for some reconciliation in the name of progress. Millennials carry the spirit of the founding fathers, perhaps more ...by: Craig Berger | 0 comments
-
Originally posted on Citizen Orange. The "DREAM Now Series: Letters to Barack Obama" is a social media campaign that launched Monday, July 19, to underscore the urgent need to pass the DREAM Act. ...by: kyledeb | 0 comments
-
The "DREAM Now Series: Letters to Barack Obama" is a social media campaign that launched Monday, July 19, to underscore the urgent need to pass the DREAM Act. The Development, Relief, and ...by: kyledeb | 0 comments
-
Thomas Goldstein and Thomas Bates, Executive Director of the Washington Bus and Vice President for Civic Engagement at Rock the Vote respectively, penned an op-ed published in today's Seattle Times. ...by: Craig Berger | 0 comments
Blogroll
- Ablogistan
- Apophenia
- Bad Subjects
- Burnt Orange Report
- Campus Progress
- Campus Vote
- College Democrats
- Culture Blog
- The Daily Background
- The Daily Taylor
- Ezra Klein
- Everyday Citizen
- For Which It Stands
- Generation Next
- Got Democracy
- It’s Getting Hot in Here
- Kevin Bondelli
- Kid Oakland
- Kossacks Under 35
- Left in the West
- Liberal College Kid
- The Low Post
- Matt Ortega
- Michigan Liberal
- Michigan Youth Political Alliance
- Millennials Changing America
- Open Left
- Penn Progress
- Planting Liberally
- Policy Farm Team
- Political Teen Tidbits
- Prose Before Hos
- Pullman Progressive
- Pushback Network
- The Raw Story
- Rethinking Youth
- Rock the Vote
- Scoop 44
- Tapped
- Think Youth
- Young Democrats
- Young MO Politico
- Young People For
- Young Philly Politics
- Young-Politics
- Youth and Politics
- YouthinkLeft
- WireTap
- Wonkette
If you have a blog written by or for young progressives, and you would like to be listed, contact Mike.
Young Progressives
- 21st Century Dems
- Black Youth Vote
- The Bus Federation
- Campus Climate Challenge
- Campus Progress
- Campus Wellstone
- Center for Progressive Leadership
- College Democrats
- DNC Youth Council
- DMI Scholars
- Forward Montana
- Future 5000
- Generation Change
- Generational Alliance
- The League
- Kossacks Under 35
- Lose the Label
- Minnesota Youth Caucus
- New Era Colorado
- Oregon Bus Project
- Progressive U
- Roosevelt Institution
- Run For Office
- Students for a New American Politics
- Swing Semester
- USSA
- Washington Bus
- Young Democrats of America
- Young Elected Officials Network
- Young People For
- Young Voter PAC
Cultural Capitalizers
- All Ages Movement Project
- Billionaires for Bush
- Drinking Liberally
- Free Culture
- Head Count
- Hip Hop Summit Action Network
- Ironweed Films
- Justice Through Music
- Laughing Liberally
- Lokahi Outreach
- National Hip Hop Political Convention
- ONE Campaign
- Progressive Book Club
- Rock the Vote
- Screening Liberally
- Vera Project
- Youth Movement Records



















