Bad Youth Coverage Can be Damaging to Turnout
Michael recently called out the New York Times on their dismal profile of Declare Yourself for subliminally playing into the popular fallacies about the youth vote and youth turnout. Unfortunately, this is just one example in a long-standing problem with media coverage of young voters.
As it turns out, these repeated fallacies about young people being apathetic, not turning out, et al may be more damaging than we previously thought. To uncover the hidden damage done by the media's false narrative we must look into the field of social psychology.
In Dr. Robert Cialdini's Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion, there is a chapter on commitment and consistency. Here is a passage that may help shed some light on the potential negative effects of this narrative:
What those around us think is true of us is enormously important in determining what we ourselves think is true. For example, one study found that after hearing that they were considered charitable people, New Haven, Connecticut, housewives gave much more money to a canvasser from the Multiple Sclerosis Association. Apparently the mere knowledge that someone viewed them as charitable caused these women to make their actions consistent with another's perception of them.
Potential young voters are constantly hearing that they do not vote, will not vote, and that they don't care. The danger lying herein is that some young voters that are not directly engaged may act, or not act as it is, because of unconscious consistency.
This may seem like a bunch of crap psycho-babble, but think about it for a moment. How often have we seen organizations talk about how to make voting "cool?" There have been efforts to combat a negative stigma towards political engagement and voting. We have a situation where the media says that young people don't vote, a young person may think: "I'm young. Nobody expects me to vote anyway. Other young people aren't voting. Why bother?"
This is a big reason why it is important to push back on these fallacious media narratives about young voters.
On the bright side, good media coverage and stories about young people getting involved have that positive effect on young voters. Good coverage also provides social proof that other young people are being engaged and voting.
This is also another reason why vote pledges are so important. As I wrote in an earlier post a while back, vote pledges involve an even more powerful use of the principles of commitment and consistency. The individual pledge to vote, a personal act of commitment, overwhelms the effect of demographic consistency.
What do you think? Does the false media narrative potentially lead to this danger, or am I just spouting psychobabble? Share your thoughts in the comments.
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2008 Youth Vote in Context
The following charts and graphs are meant to contextualize the unique role that young voters played in the 2008 election, and their increasingly important role in a winning electoral coalition:
2008 Youth Electoral Map

2004 Youth Electoral Map

Youth Vote Partisan Advantage: 2000 - 2008

Youth Vote Historical Support: 1976 - 2008

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something there
I don't think it's psychobabble. It's probably something that needs to be tested (if it could be) because it may have only a small or negligible effect. It's hard to say.
But intuitively it seems right. If everyone says youth are apathetic, and don't vote on election day, then the message is that we are a cohort of losers in the political sense. Who wants to be part of the losing team? Everyone wants to be a winner though, so if young people are voting and there is a positive storyline, people want to be a part of that. They want to identify themselves with the story and be a part of that history.
It's like Woodstock and the liberal Boomers. Everyone wants to say they were a part of it because it is such a huge part of the narrative that their generation tells about themselves. I can see the same thing in this election. This could be the defining election for a generation of Americans, and it could be the first election in which youth play a significant role and are acknowledged for that contribution. It's a powerful draw to want to be part of that.
It's also worth thinking about that this effect might not run both ways. I can easily see a controlled study showing that the apathetic/bad narrative does very little to nothing to decrease turnout - all other factors considered. But I can see the same study showing that a positive narrative does have a significant impact in further driving turnout higher.
Research on Social Norms
This has been tested in at least one study. See The Effect of Descriptive Social Norms on Voter Turnout: The Importance of Accentuating the Positive. (PDF) by Alan Gerber and Todd Rogers.
Vote pledges are also very effective, but only when paired with a reminder of the pledge.
Really interesting
Really interesting. Thanks for pointing us in the right direction Chris.
Thanks
This is definitely the kind of research that I have been looking for. Thanks a ton.