Michael Connery's blog

Wow. It's unbelievable to me that people like this not only exist, but are leaders of the young conservative movement. This is the type of stuff that will consign Republicans to the electoral graveyard as Millennial assume an larger and larger role in American politics and the electorate:

From Think Progress:

The Republican establishment has often appeared worried that attacks on Supreme Court nominee Sonia Sotomayor, the first Latina nominated to the court, could appear racist. But the activists of the conservative movement are less concerned. In May, blogger Debbie Schlussel called Sotomayor “Justice J-Lo.” Now, the Washington Independent’s Dave Weigel reports that Jason Mattera, the spokesman for Young America’s Foundation, has posted a blatantly offensive message about Sotomayor on his Facebook page:

She was too shy to include it in this morning's Quick Hits, but our intern Rachel Krause hit a career milestone this morning with her first piece published in Campus Progress: Killing the Programs We Need Most.

Rachel's piece is an in-depth look at the relationship between youth violence and economic downturns, and what happens when funding for prevention programs run out in the times of greatest need. It's a great topic with particular relevance to the 80 Million Strong youth jobs summit happening today.

Fantastic job Rachel, and congratulations on the publication. We look forward to reading many more.

The summer months are already known for recording increased levels of violence, but when the damaging effects of a recession are combined with the added freedoms of summer, what appears to result are the perfect breeding grounds for youth violence. Criminologists use numerous factors to explain why youth turn to violence, such as poor family relationships, poor grades in school, economic conditions in the community, or drug, alcohol, and tobacco use; however, experts point out that it is difficult to pin-point the cause of a rise in youth violence to one specific variable.

“Youth violence, specifically homicide, seems to move in waves, and social scientists have not been very good at predicting these waves. The recession is one reason why we should expect youth crime to increase, but many other factors, such as what’s happening with drug markets also matter,” says David Hemmenway, Harvard University professor of health policy and Director of the Harvard Injury Control Research Center and the Youth Violence Prevention Center.

[...]

The U.S. Conference of Mayors Workforce Development Council says that there are numerous successful youth violence prevention programs that have been implemented, such as Peacebuilders in Hartford, Building Futures in Seattle, gang prevention in San Diego, and the After School Matters program in Baltimore. But because of the economic recession, many successful youth violence-prevention programs might teeter on the verge of disbandment during a time when they are needed most.

Go read the whole piece.

Happy lazy Sunday. On this day of large newspaper reading, I wanted to point out two stories on serious policy issues that prominently feature some of the bigger youth coalitions working in DC, and across the country. First up:

Disillusioned Environmentalists Turn On Obama as Compromiser:

On the campaign trail, Mr. Obama used forceful and direct language on climate change, calling carbon emissions from human activity an “immediate threat” to the climate. His environmental critics say they miss that urgent tone.

“He was far too quiet during the House debate,” said Jessy Tolkan, the executive director of the Energy Action Coalition, a youth group in Washington that campaigns for clean energy. “He needs to live up to the promises he made to us when we poured our heart and soul into electing him.”

Ms. Tolkan said that her organization was hoping to take that point home to the Democratic Party before the midterm elections. “Those who played a leadership role in weakening this bill will feel the wrath of youth political power across the country,” she said. “2010 is not that far away.”

Kudos to Jessy and Energy Action for muscling youth into the climate policy discussion in the paper of record, and I think her point about the midterms is a smart one. Youth have turned up at the polls three elections in a row, but we are still not adequately represented at the policy table. With the possible exception of student loans/debt issues, which has seen some encouraging movement recently, I don't really see our concerns being met by action on the Hill. If groups like Energy Action can turn a few congressional races (or better, primaries) in 2010, that will do a lot for our credibility as an electoral threat, which will make for a louder voice in DC policy wrangling.

Next up, College Grads Face IOUs, Worst Job Market in Years:

The Class of 2009 finds itself in the worst job market in 25 years. Unemployment for all 20- to 24-year-olds is more than 15 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Just 20 percent of this year's graduates who applied for a job have one, down from more than 50 percent two years ago, according to the National Association of Colleges and Employers.

The average student graduates with about $22,000 in debt, according to the Project on Student Debt, a Berkeley, Calif., nonprofit.

There is an estimated $700 billion in outstanding student loan debt — enough to merit its own bailout, some say.

Student groups applaud the changes, but say they do not address what they view as the underlying problem: tuition gone wild.

"What happens if you raise the loan limits is the colleges raise their tuition," said David Smith, 29, founder and chairman of mobilize.org, a Washington-based group focused on college affordability.

Mobilize.org, in turn, is a leader within 80 Million Strong, a new grass-roots advocacy and lobbying coalition dedicated to addressing high youth unemployment, high student loan debt, credit-card lending practices and health insurance.

"We are seeing some very unreasonable tuition increases," Mr. Smith said. "In many states that are getting into financial problems, they often balance their budgets on the backs of students.

"What it ends up doing is increasing the cost of education significantly, forces students to take another job, another loan or drop out of school," he said.

This is a great article on the debt burden placed on college students trying to earn a place in the middle class, and it is dominated by quotes from people working with the 80 Million Strong Coalition. Great press in advance of next week's summit.

• From the White House Blog, Jill Biden extols the virtues of community colleges.
• A new study suggests that Facebook users are getting older.
• Remember the election protection effort Twitter Vote Report? Check out a case study of the project.
• Kal Penn has officially started his White House job.
• ePolitics discusses Iran, Independence Day, and the limits of Online Politics.
• The New York Times covers the latest in summer trends: jobless summers.
• Generation Y reflects on what it means to be American.
• Youth-magnet cities continue to see growth during recession.
• Young Mayors bring fresh perspectives.

A (relatively) new report by Nielsen (pdf) gives us a look into how teens are using media, and the results are a little surprising:

The notion that teens are too busy texting and Twittering to be engaged with traditional media is exciting, but false.

To develop the best strategy around teens and media, start by challenging popular assumptions about teens. Don’t focus on the outliers, but on the macro-level trends of media and preferences for the segment. The averages will show you that teens can often be reached by the same means as their parents.

In this report, “How Teens Use Media,” we debunk the myths and give you the hard facts.

• Teens are NOT abandoning TV for new media: In fact, they watch more TV than ever, up 6% over the past five years in the U.S.
• Teens love the Internet…but spend far less time browsing than adults: Teens spend 11 hours and 32 minutes
  per month online—far below the average of 29 hours and 15 minutes.
• Teens watch less online video than most adults, but the ads are highly engaging to them: Teens spend 35% less time watching online video than adults 25–34, but recall ads better when watching TV shows online than they do on television.
• Teens read newspapers, listen to the radio and even like advertising more than most: Teens who recall TV ads are 44% more likely to say they liked the ad.
• Teens play video games, but are as excited about play-along music games and car-racing games as they are about violent ones: Just two of their top five most-anticipated games since 2005 are rated “Mature.”
• Teens’ favorite TV shows, top websites and genre preferences across media are mostly the same as those of their parents: For U.S. teens, American Idol was the top show in 2008, Google the top website and general dramas are a preferred TV genre for teens around the world.

This all sounds very counterintuitive - and one might like to doubt the veracity of stats promoting the television industry distributed by Nielsen - but the report is actually quite evenhanded and makes a point very similar to what we've been saying at Future Majority for years: young people are just like older people, and if you target them, they will respond. Whereas we're talking about voter engagement tactics, they are talking purely about media consumption habits (though to be sure there is overlap between the two categories).

Perhaps the biggest takeaway for me is this: teens embrace new media not at the cost of traditional media, but in supplement it.

Here's what that looks like in chart form:

Also interesting - but less a focus of the study - is the extent to which the data points to the 18 - 29 age window as the time in which many of the media habits normally associated with teens kick in, and in fact, when it comes to internet usage, it is people over 35 who are the heaviest users. The one new media category in which stereotypes seem to hold true is in text messaging, in which teens are by far the most prolific users.

Interesting stuff that I'm sure will help campaigns and nonprofits better target teens in the future.

On the heels of Kevin's excellent (and widely read) piece about college affordability, and Jill Biden's speech about the virtues of community colleges, I wanted to highlight a new policy that went into effect over the holiday weekend - Income Based Repayment. Here's a quick video explaining the concept and the policy:

Essentially, the program allows qualified borrowers to pay back their loans at a rate commensurate with their income and expenses, rather than on a fixed yearly plan. If, after 25 years of payments, the loans are still not paid, the remaining balance will be forgiven. That time frame drops to 10 years for borrowers who work in government or the nonprofit sector.

The program has received good coverage so far in the LA Times and the New York Times. It's not going to solve all our problems, or make college affordable for all Americans, but it does offer some relief from the staggering debt burden facing young Americans, and that's a good thing.

The following is a guest post by Morley Winograd and Michael D. Hais. Winograd and Hais are fellows of NDN and the New Policy Institute and co-authors of Millennial Makeover: MySpace, YouTube, and the Future of American Politics (Rutgers University Press: 2008), named one of the 10 favorite books by the New York Times in 2008. --Mike

Seventy percent of Iranians are under thirty. These young people have twice the presence in the population of that country as America’s largest generation, Millennials (born 1982-2003), has in ours.

In the immediate aftermath of Iran's disputed presidential election, text messages became the tool for organizing post-election protests. Hundreds of thousands of tweets provided more, if not clearer, information about what was happening each day than traditional media. Opposition and government Facebook pages poured out dueling messages on the Internet. It suddenly seemed as if not only had American democratic values erupted on the barren landscape of a theocratic society, but also that young people’s technological capabilities might produce a regime change that no one anticipated. Clay Shirky announced, “This is it. This is the big one. This is the first revolution that has been catapulted onto a global stage and transformed by social media.” And the notion that this was a “Twitter Revolution” quickly became the meme for the entire series of post-election events.

But then the entrenched establishment fought back using the very same Internet- enabled technologies to isolate, spy on, and ultimately shut down the resistance. Thanks to new capabilities recently acquired from two European telecom companies—Nokia and Siemens—as part of their country’s upgrade of its mobile networks, the Iranian government was able to monitor the flow of online data in and out of sites like Twitter and Facebook, from one central location. The Iranians deployed a technology called deep packet inspection, first created to put a firewall around President Clinton’s emails in 1993, to deconstruct digitized packets of information flowing through the government’s telecom monopoly that might contain what they considered to be seditious information before reconstructing and sending it on to destinations they were also able to track and monitor. The result was a 90% degradation in the speed of Internet communications in Iran at the height of the unrest, and a previously unseen capability to determine who the government’s enemies were down to the individual IP address level.

Once again the world learned that technology does not arrive with a built-in set of values that makes it work either for good or evil. Even though Internet technology has many virtues, it is not inherently liberating or enslaving. Instead how it is used is determined by the values of those who access it. Libertarians celebrate the individual empowerment that the Internet makes possible. But even though Ron Paul supporters used the technology to take on the Republican establishment in 2008, the end result that year was the election of a group-oriented, civic-minded candidate, Barack Obama, whose campaign used the very same technology to guide millions of people to undertake a collective agenda of change that Libertarians certainly did not “believe in.”

The difference between what libertarians wanted and what Obama achieved came from the generational attitudes and beliefs of Millennials, Obama’s key supporters, not from the technology that generation was so adept at using.

One of the founders of generational theory, Neil Howe, points out that the under-30 population of Iran grew up during a religious awakening in the Islamic world that came later than America’s “cultural revolution” of the 1960s. As a result, Iranian youth resembles Generation X, Americans now in their 30s and 40s. Like our own Gen X, these young Iranians are “pragmatic, individualistic, commercial, and anti-ideological (which is why they hate Ahmadinejad so much).”

Those values make them anti-establishment in the current crisis. We are fortunate that they feel deeply enough about the potential of democracy to risk their lives to “tear down that power structure,” to paraphrase what President Ronald Reagan, Generation X’s political hero, said in a different context. But now the central task of our government must be to translate that democratic impulse into a deeper belief in Millennial generation values, such as the power of consensus, the peaceful resolution of differences and the need to find win-win solutions to our problems.

That is why the President Obama's recent Cairo speech should be the bedrock on which America continues to engage large young Muslim populations throughout the world, including Iran:

“No matter where it takes hold, government of the people and by the people sets a single standard for all who hold power: you must maintain your power through consent, not coercion; you must respect the rights of minorities, and participate with a spirit of tolerance and compromise; you must place the interests of your people and the legitimate workings of the political process above your party. Without these ingredients, elections alone do not make true democracy."

This statement has the potential to become a governing creed for a new generation of young Muslims. If they come to have, as President Obama does, “an unyielding belief that all people yearn for certain things: the ability to speak your mind and have a say in how you are governed; confidence in the rule of law and the equal administration of justice; government that is transparent and doesn't steal from the people; the freedom to live as you choose,” then the power of 21st century technologies will be used to advance the cause of freedom in Iran, rather than suppressing it. But tweeting those words won’t make it happen. Believing in them will.

You've got to love young conservatives. Stick them in front of a computer and hilarity ensues. Whether it's gangsta raps about Ayn Rand, or this latest missive from the College Republican National Committee (emphasis mine):

From: Zach Howell, College Republicans
Date: Fri, Jun 19, 2009 at 1:49 PM
Subject: Closing STORM

One year and over 200,000 members later, I'm pleased to announce that STORM, the College Republican's social activism network has successfully served its purpose and has now been closed as scheduled.

STORM proved to be a successful utility to organize our membership, coordinate the Fall 2008 field program, and keep in communication with our 200,000 members.

You can rest assured that we'll continue to keep you in the loop on upcoming projects, as well as supply you with the tools you need to be an effective activist online and on campus.

In conjunction with the completion of STORM we surveyed nearly 2,000 College Republicans to better understand what drives YOU to connect online. Here's what you told us:

85% of survey respondents told us they're connected online at least four hours a day, with almost half saying they're “always” connected. For most, this includes using the Internet on a mobile device.

Almost 95% of College Republicans have accounts on Facebook, and a vast majority are active on multiple social networks. In addition, about three quarters of respondents spend at least one hour a day on social networking sites.

When asked what features you would like to see on a future College Republican network, the most popular responses included a job posting board, event sharing, integration with Facebook, and talking points on hot-button issues.

Thank you for your ongoing support.

Sincerely,

Zach Howell
National Chairman
College Republicans

Riiiiiiight. Their proprietary social network was so "successful" that they decided to dismantle it. Because after the 2008 election, there would never be any need to quickly and efficiently organize "200,000" College Republicans. I know conservatives are fond of declaring the End of History, I didn't realize there was also an End of Organizing as well.

Or maybe things didn't go "as scheduled." Maybe this is in response to the fact that the system cost upwards of $300,000 and never actually worked, eliciting ridicule from the rank and file College Republicans. Maybe it's because so few people used the system that they got punked trying to run a contest during the RNC. Or maybe it's because if the system actually worked and was sustainable, they wouldn't be able to funnel hundreds of thousands of dollars in welfare to conservative web development firms.

Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain. There's nothing to be alarmed about here folks, everything is proceeding according to plan. This is our regularly scheduled programming.

Conservatives have a lot of work to do if they want to climb out of their demographic hole. Something tells me that Millennials aren't going to want to be involved in an organization that lies to its membership.

Thanks to great work by Oregon Bus Project founder-turned state legislator Jefferson Smith (and other legislators), online voter registration is about to become a reality in Oregon:

Online Voter Registration Approved by Senate

Online registration plan is simple, secure and has proven successful

SALEM – The Senate today voted in favor of HB 2386, which would allow Oregonians to register to vote online. Online voter registration creates a new avenue to register that is simple, hassle-free and, above all, secure.

"Oregonians pay bills online, check bank accounts online, rent movies online, pay taxes online. We can change our address with the US Postal Service and DMV online. With this bill, we will move our voter registration system into the 21st century by allowing people to register to vote online,” said Representative Ben Cannon (D-Portland), who is the Chief Co-Sponsor of the bill along with Representative Jefferson Smith (D-Portland). "This bill takes a significant step toward a secure, hassle-free system of voter registration."

House Bill 2386 would allow eligible voters with valid Oregon Driver Licenses or ID cards to register to vote online through a secure connection on the Secretary of State website. A registrant’s signature from DMV will be used to match against the signature on the ballot. A registrant would first have to indicate under penalty of law that they are a citizen and that they are at least 17 years old, just like on the current form.

“HB 2386 represents a lot of work by folks who are passionate about access to democracy,” said Representative Jefferson Smith (D-Portland). “This bill’s passage is a milestone in Oregon’s voter access movement. We believe that democracy works better if more people do it.”

HB 2386 would model Oregon’s online voter registration system on those of Washington and Arizona, where the programs have proven extremely popular. In 2003, the first year of Arizona's Online Voter Registration program, 25% of all new voter registrations were done online. In 2007, that percentage jumped to 72%. After Washington implemented online voter registration, 1,634 online applications were recorded in the first three days and 38% of all Washington voter registrations in 2008 were done online.

“Oregon needs laws that make registering to vote accessible and easy for every eligible voter,” said Secretary of State Kate Brown. “This is simple, stable and will bring more voters, especially younger voters, into the process of shaping Oregon’s future.”

HB 2386 is headed back to the House for concurrence on Senate amendments. It will then head to the Governor for his signature.

Now we need to see movement on more reforms that can make voter registration and participation painless, like automatic registration or election day registration.

• After helping to orchestrate a DDOS attack on Iranian state media, Matthew Burton ponders the ethics of weaponizing the social web.
• Peter Levine announces that on July 24th, Tufts University will sponsor a conference to assess the Obama Administration's civic engagement agenda.
• Bozeman, MT is now requiring that city job applicants submit their social network usernames and logins to comply with background checks. WTF?
• We all know young people vote. WireTap wonders if they can advocate and mobilize?
• The White House wants your ideas on how technology can increase participation in government.
• Has the Iranian elections opened a generational fissure?
• Win or lose, Bloomberg News wonders if the Iranian protests are the beginnings of a movement that will outlast Ahmadinejad.
• US News thinks Republicans still have a chance with the youth vote.
• Writing for The Hill, Markos Moulitsas sees an "empathy gap" standing in the way of that chance.